脓毒性休克患者6 h液体复苏量与24 h累积液体平衡对预后的影响

The role of 6-hour fluid resuscitation and 24-hour fluid balance in the prognosis of patients with septic shock

  • 摘要: 目的:探讨脓毒性休克患者早期 6 h液体复苏量与 24 h累积液体平衡对 28 d病死率的影响,并评估二者的交互关系。方法:本研究为单中心回顾性队列研究,共纳入 291 例脓毒性休克患者。以 6 h液体复苏量(30 mL/kg为界)及 24 h累积液体平衡(中位数35.83 mL/kg为界)对患者进行分组,分别构建二分组模型与四分组模型。采用多因素logistic回归模型分析6 h液体复苏量及 24 h累积液体平衡与 28 d病死率的关系,并进行生存分析。结果:脓毒性休克患者28 d病死率为 43.3%。多因素logistic分析显示,24 h高液体平衡与 28 d病死率显著相关(OR=2.33,95%CI :1.21~4.46,P=0.011),而早期 6 h液体复苏量在多因素logistic回归校正后未显示独立的预测效应。进一步分组分析发现,高复苏—高平衡组患者死亡风险最高(OR=2.77,95% CI:1.28~5.99,P=0.010),而高复苏—低平衡组的预后与低复苏—低平衡参照组相近(OR=1.02,95% CI: 0.40~2.63,P=0.965)。生存分析结果与上述发现一致。结论:在脓毒性休克患者中,与早期 6 h液体复苏量相比,24 h累积液体平衡在分层模型中表现出更为一致的风险分层能力,且早期液体复苏对病死率的影响可能受到后续液体管理方式的调节。脓毒性休克患者液体治疗策略应由单纯强调初始复苏剂量,转向关注全程动态容量管理。

     

    Abstract: Objective: To investigate the effects of early 6-hour fluid resuscitation and 24-hour cumulative fluid balance on 28-day mortality in patients with septic shock, and to evaluate their potential interaction. Methods: This single-center retrospective cohort study included 291 patients with septic shock. Patients were stratified based on early 6-hour fluid resuscitation volume (using 30 mL/kg as the cutoff) and 24-hour cumulative fluid balance (using the median of 35.83 mL/kg as the cutoff). Both two-group and four-group models were constructed. Multivariable logistic regression model was performed to analyze the associations between these fluid management indicators and 28-day mortality, followed by survival analysis. Results: The 28-day mortality rate in patients with septic shock was 43.3%. Multivariate logistic analysis showed that a high 24-hour cumulative fluid balance was significantly associated with 28-day mortality (OR=2.33, 95% CI: 1.21-4.46, P=0.011), whereas early 6-hour fluid resuscitation volume did not demonstrate an independent predictive effect after multivariable adjustment. Further subgroup analysis revealed that patients in the high resuscitation-high balance group had the highest risk of death (OR=2.77, 95% CI: 1.28-5.99, P=0.010), while prognosis in the high resuscitation-low balance group (OR=1.02, 95% CI: 0.40-2.63, P=0.965) was comparable to that in the low resuscitation-low balance reference group. Survival analysis yielded results consistent with these findings. Conclusion: In patients with septic shock, compared with early 6-hour fluid resuscitation volume, 24-hour cumulative fluid balance demonstrated more consistent risk stratification performance in stratified analyses, and the effect of early fluid resuscitation on mortality may be modified by subsequent fluid management strategies. Fluid therapy strategies in patients with septic shock should shift from simply emphasizing the initial resuscitation volume to focusing on dynamic, whole-course volume management.

     

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