脓毒症患者发病后7 d内血清总抗氧化能力对28 d院内死亡风险的预测价值

Predictive value of serum total antioxidant capacity within 7 days after the onset of sepsis on the risk of in-hospital death within 28 days

  • 摘要: 目的:探讨脓毒症发病后7 d内血清总抗氧化能力(TAC)变化及其与28 d院内死亡风险的关系。方法:选取2016年3月至2021年3月本院收治的167例脓毒症患者,根据28 d存活情况分为存活组和死亡组。比较两组发病后1 d、3 d、7 d时序贯器官衰竭估计(SOFA)评分及血清乳酸、丙二醛(MDA)、TAC 水平,Pearson 相关分析法分析血清TAC 水平与临床特征参数的相关性。采用多因素logistic 回归模型分析影响脓毒症患者28 d 院内死亡的危险因素,受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线评估血清TAC 水平预测28 d 院内死亡风险的临床价值。结果:死亡组患者发病后1 d、3 d、7 d 时血清TAC 水平高于存活组(P<0.05)。患者发病后1 d、3 d、7 d时血清TAC水平与乳酸、MDA、SOFA 评分均呈正相关关系(P<0.05)。多因素logistic回归分析显示,发病后1 d、3 d、7 d时的血清TAC 水平均为脓毒症患者28 d院内死亡的独立预测因素(P<0.05);发病后1 d、3 d、7 d血清TAC水平预测脓毒症患者28 d 院内死亡的ROC 曲线下面积(AUC)分别为0.629(95% CI:0.542~0.716)、0.593(95% CI:0.500~0.687)、0.745(95%CI:0.669~0.820)。结论:脓毒症死亡患者发病后7 d内血清TAC水平持续高于存活患者,与脓毒症病情加重和病死率升高有关,可作为脓毒症预后标志物。

     

    Abstract: Objective: To explore the change trend of serum total antioxidant capacity (TAC) levels within 7 days after the onset of sepsis and its relationship with the risk of in-hospital death within 28 days.Methods: A total of 167 patients with sepsis admitted to the Affiliated Hospital of Qinghai University from March 2016 to March 2021 were enrolled and divided into survival group and death group according to 28-day survival.Sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, and serum, lactic acid, malondialdehyde (MDA) and TAC levels on day 1, 3 and 7 after onset of sepsis were compared between the two groups.Pearson correlation analysis was used to test the correlation between serum TAC levels and clinical characteristic parameters.Multivariate logistic regression model was used to analyze the risk factors of 28-day in-hospital death in sepsis patients, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the clinical value of serum TAC levels in predicting the risk of in-hospital death within 28 days.Results: The serum TAC levels in death group were higher than those in survival group on day 1, 3 and 7 after onset of sepsis (P<0.05).The levels of serum TAC were positively correlated with the scores of lactic acid, MDA and SOFA on day 1, 3 and 7 after onset of disease(P<0.05).Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that serum TAC levels on day 1, 3 and 7 after onset of disease were all independent predictors of 28-day in-hospital death in patients with sepsis (P<0.05), and their areas under ROC curve (AUC) for predicting in-hospital death of sepsis patients within 28 days were 0.629 (95% CI:0.542-0.716), 0.593 (95% CI: 0.500-0.687) and 0.745(95% CI:0.669-0.820), respectively.Conclusion: The serum TAC levels of septic dead patients within 7 days after onset are continuously higher than those of surviving patients, and it is related to the aggravation of sepsis and the increase of death, which can be used as a prognostic biomarker of sepsis.

     

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